WNBA Odds, Picks & Predictions: Tuesday (8/19)
The WNBA slate for Tuesday is jam-packed with action. There are five games on the schedule, including a Finals rematch in New York. Let's take a closer look at a few of the matchups to find some of the best bets for Tuesday.
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Tuesday’s Best WNBA Bets & Picks
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Minnesota Lynx at New York Liberty
It's a third matchup in a week and a half between these fast rivals. The Lynx, the top team in the league by most metrics, won and covered in each of the first two matchups. This game heads back to New York and the Liberty find themselves favorites, despite missing star forward Breanna Stewart.
Minnesota looks to be without their MVP candidate, Napheesa Collier. She's missed four straight games but that hasn't bothered the Lynx who won all four and went 3-1 ATS. In the last win, at home against New York, they shot below their season averages both from 2P% and 3P% but still managed to score 86 points and cover.
When teams play each other this much in a short period of time you can expect the one that has been on the losing side to make big adjustments. The Liberty should be better, but they played pretty well against the league's best defense on Saturday. This is baked into the line that has the Liberty as 2.5-points favorites. I'll be the contrarian and back the better team in the Lynx, even without Collier.
Pick: Lynx +2.5 (-110)
Connecticut Sun at Washington Mystics
This won't be the most exciting game on the schedule for Tuesday. With Connecticut having the worst record in the league and Washington likely on the outside looking in when it comes to the Playoffs, this is a game that won't have a ton of bearing on the final standings. However, that doesn't mean that there isn't an edge in this game.
The Sun have been the worst offense in the league by many metrics. Their ORtg is the lowest in the league and they've averaged only 75.3 PPG on the year. In August, they've been a tad bit better. They're averaging 77.5 PPG, 9.3 ORB per game and 19.3 APG in the month, the latter two being high water marks for the season.
The Mystics have been a tough matchup for the Sun this season too. Washington scored totals of 90 and 104 in the games with Connecticut since the beginning of the year. To no ones surprise, both totals have gone over by 15 points or more. I expect more of the same with a similar total of 156.5 on the board.
Pick: Over 156.5 Total Points (-110)
Atlanta Dream at Las Vegas Aces
It's not the Finals rematch, but this might actually be the game of the night. The Aces have been red-hot, winning seven straight and going 6-1 ATS in that span. They meet an Atlanta team that has been just as good in the month of August. They have also gone 6-1 ATS in their last seven and are 6-1 SU in the month.
It's been the offense for Atlanta that has led this surge. They're scoring 85.1 PPG on 46.9% shooting. They've discovered that slowing their pace down a bit has improved their efficiency and in turn upped their offensive output. It's also helped them allow just 72.0 PPG in the month, which is by far their best month defensively in the season.
The Aces have benefitted on this run with a favorable schedule. Las Vegas managed to beat Dallas, Connecticut, Seattle and a shorthanded New York team during the last seven games. I'd like to see them do it against a strong team like Atlanta before I actually buy in on the Aces. In this Tuesday night tilt, I'll back the Dream.
Pick: Dream +2 (-112)