UFL Week 7 Betting Odds & Picks: Panthers vs. Renegades (Saturday)
Week 6 of the 2025 UFL season is in the books. Last week, I finished 2-2 on my four bets. I went 1-1 Friday night in the Arlington Renegades vs. St. Louis Battlehawks matchup, with the Battlehawks MoneyLine hitting. Unfortunately, the over of 42.5 points fell well short, with St. Louis getting the 12-6 victory (18).
Meanwhile, I went 1-1 in Saturday's matchup between the Memphis Showboats and the Houston Roughnecks. The Roughnecks’ MoneyLine barely hit, with Houston securing the one-point victory. However, the under of 36.5 points missed with the final score being 21-20 (41).
However, last week's games are in the books. Now, it's time to move on to Week 7. Let's look at my two favorite bets from Saturday's matchup between the Michigan Panthers and Arlington Renegades.
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UFL Week 7 Picks & Predictions: Panthers vs. Renegades
Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook
Bet #1 - Panthers -3 (-110)
Michigan is coming off a massive victory over the D.C. Defenders in Week 6, winning 38-14. They led wire to wire, holding a 30-14 lead heading into the fourth quarter. Furthermore, the Panthers have arguably the best offense in the UFL. They have averaged a league-high 26 points per game, hitting that total in all but one contest. More importantly, Michigan has an average point differential of 7.5 points per game, the highest mark in the league.
While the Renegades have a 3-3 record, they have lost back-to-back games. Furthermore, both losses were by four or more points. More importantly, Arlington has been one of the more inconsistent teams in the league this season. Their three wins have come against a one-win San Antonio Brahmas team, by two points over the Houston Roughnecks, and against the St. Louis Battlehawks when they lost their starting quarterback in the first quarter.
Therefore, I'm surprised the Panthers aren't more than three-point favorites on Saturday. The Renegades have beaten up on the weaker teams in the UFL, or when their opponent lost their starting quarterback mid-game. Meanwhile, Michigan has been on fire lately, winning three of the past four games, including two by 18 or more points. While this matchup has the closest spread of any game in Week 7, don't be surprised if Michigan wins by double digits.
Bet #2 - Over 42.5 (-115)
Unfortunately, the 2025 UFL regular season is past the halfway point. Yet, some offenses haven't found their rhythm. Thankfully, the Panthers are clicking on all cylinders. They lead the league in points scored, averaging 26 per game. Furthermore, Michigan has scored 156 points, 25 more than the next closest team (4.2 per game) and more than double the Brahmas' yearly total (71). More importantly, they have been on fire lately, scoring a season-high 38 points last week.
The Renegades rank fourth in the UFL in points scored (122), averaging 20.3 per game. Furthermore, they have scored only nine fewer points than the second-highest scoring team (131). Last week, Arlington only scored six points in their loss to the Battlehawks. However, they scored 33 and 30 points in their previous two games. The Renegades have scored 30 or more points in half of their games this season, including in matchups against St. Louis and D.C.
This game has the highest over/until total of Week 7, four points higher than the next closest matchup. Yet, I can see the over easily hitting. Both teams have played well on offense lately, so points shouldn't be a problem. More importantly, these two teams haven't played very well defensively lately. Michigan has surrendered 26 or more points in two of the past four games. By comparison, Arlington surrendered a season-high 37 points two weeks ago.
Mike Fanelli is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @Mike_NFL2.