NBA Playoffs Same Game Parlay Picks & Predictions: Sunday (5/11)
This year, the Oklahoma City Thunder and Cleveland Cavaliers were expected to meet in the NBA Finals. However, both teams are currently down 2-1 in their respective series. Still, both teams can tie up their series at two and head home for a Game 5.
I’ve added a same-game parlay (SGP) for each matchup in today’s NBA playoffs and shared them below.
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Sunday’s Best NBA Playoffs Same Game Parlay Picks
(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets
- Leg 1: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 6.5 Rebounds (-148)
- Leg 2: Chet Holmgren Under 9.5 Rebounds (-122)
- Leg 3: Aaron Gordon Over 1.5 Three-Pointers Made (+100)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander added 13 rebounds in Game 3. However, he only managed four rebounds in the prior game. He’s ultimately hit at least seven rebounds in just 29% of games this season. He’s also added at least seven rebounds in only three of his last 10 games. Meanwhile, the Nuggets rank fourth in the NBA in rebounds allowed to point guards this season. Gilgeous-Alexander has earned around 10.1 rebound chances per game. He’s had games with 16+ and games with no more than six rebound chances over the last 10 games. Still, in his last 18 games against the Nuggets, he’s added at least seven rebounds only eight times.
On the other hand, Chet Holmgren has recorded 27 rebounds in his last two games combined. He also played more than 40 minutes in Game 3 of this series and had 24 rebound chances. Yet, he’s still only grabbed at least 10 rebounds in 38% of games this season. In addition, he’s added only 6.9 rebounds per game against the Nuggets over the last 15 games. It’s also highly unlikely he plays another game of 40+ minutes. That’s rare for Holmgren.
In the second-round series, Aaron Gordon has drilled at least two threes in all three games against the Thunder. Gordon is facing a Thunder defense that ranks 26th in three-pointers made by power forwards this season. The Thunder also ranks 25th in three-point field goal attempts by power forwards. I’d expect Gordon to continue to get quality looks from the three-point range. He’s been hot recently, and it likely won’t stop now, especially at home.
Parlay Odds: +455
Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Indiana Pacers
- Leg 1: T.J. McConnell Under 3.5 Rebounds (-192)
- Leg 2: Pascal Siakam Over 5.5 Rebounds (-162)
- Leg 3: Darius Garland Under 2.5 Three-Pointers Made (-166)
- Leg 4: De’Andre Hunter Over 1.5 Three-Pointers Made (+102)
T.J. McConnell added six rebounds in 21.2 minutes for the Pacers in Game 3. However, he’s added no more than three in his previous four games. I’d say Game 3 was a bit of an outlier. He’s had no more than eight rebound chances in any game over the last 10 games, except for Game 3 against the Cavaliers. He’s averaged just 5.3 rebounds per game over the last 10 games and has earned at least four rebounds in only 26% of games this season.
On the other hand, Pascal Siakam earned four rebounds in Game 3. He’s recorded at least six rebounds in only two of his last five games. However, he’s added at least six rebounds in 70% of games this season. In addition, he’s hauled in 7.6 rebounds per game over his last 16 games against the Cavaliers. After all, the Cavaliers rank 27th in rebounds allowed to power forwards this season. Siakam should be able to take advantage like he did in Games 1 and 2.
Darius Garland returned to action in Game 3 against the Pacers and nailed two threes. He only played about 25 minutes and took 11 field goal attempts. Seven of those 11 field goal attempts were from three-point range. But even if you go back to his last 10 games on the court, Garland has nailed only 35.8% from three. He’d need to take about nine or 10 threes to knock down three three-pointers.
Finally, De’Andre Hunter has only hit one three-pointer in each of his last two games against the Pacers. Still, he’s drilled at least two threes in 69% of games this season. He’s also hit this line in seven of his last 10 games. Hunter only played 20.6 minutes in Game 3 due to an injury, but I’d expect him to see closer to 30 minutes in this one. When he’s on the floor, Hunter is usually pretty consistent. Take his over.
Parlay Odds: +594
Make sure to check out our other best bets for Sunday: