NBA Betting Systems Picks & Predictions: Tuesday (3/18)
Tonight’s four-game NBA slate offers plenty of value on the betting board. Therefore, I used our NBA Betting Systems to find some +EV plays.
I’ve added my favorite three bets below. Let’s have a big Tuesday.
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NBA Betting System Plays For Tuesday
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
under points 60%+ hit rate low vig
The “under points 60%+ hit rate low vig” system is up 1,008 units. It’s also added a 24.2% return on investment (ROI) and has earned a 66.6% win percentage over the last year.
This system looks for players to go under in points with a cost of -130 to +101. In addition, that same player must have hit the over in no more than two of his last five and four of his last 10 games.
Taurean Prince of the Bucks has added at least 10 points in only 34% of games this season. Meanwhile, he’ll battle a Warriors defense ranked 13th in the NBA in points allowed to small forwards this season. In addition, Prince has added at least 10 points in only 30% of his last 10 head-to-head matchups against the Warriors.
Fade Prince and take the under on his points prop.
Pick: Taurean Prince Under 9.5 Points (-123)
under reb/ast over in 0-2/5
Next up is the “under reb/ast over in 0-2/5” system. It’s earned a 24.5% ROI and has added a 67.4% win percentage over its last 7,774 bets.
This system is super simple. It just looks for players to go under in the combined rebounds + assists category. Additionally, that same player has to have hit the over in no more than two of the last five games to qualify for this system.
Nic Claxton of the Nets has earned at least 10 rebounds + assists in only 49% of games this season. He’s also hit this line in just one of his last five games. He will now battle a Celtics defense ranked third in the NBA in combined rebounds + assists allowed to centers.
Claxton has averaged just 8.9 combined rebounds + assists against the Celtics in his last 14 games against Boston. Over the last three games, Claxton has had two games with no more than 11 rebound chances. He also didn’t have a single potential assist in his most recent game against the Hawks.
I’m on the under with this system play.
Pick: Nic Claxton Under 9.5 Rebounds + Assists (-118)
Points+ boa
The final system is the “Points+boa” system. This system has earned a 17.6% ROI over its last 5,342 bets. Beyond that, it has earned 939.48 units in that time frame and has added a 63.2% win percentage.
To qualify, a player must have a cost of -208 to +110 for the over in the combined points + assists market. The player must also have hit the over in at least three of the last five games.
James Harden has nailed this line in eight consecutive games. He’s also facing a Cleveland team ranked 21st in the NBA in points allowed to point guards. While the Cavaliers don’t allow a high rate of assists to point guards, Harden has still averaged nearly 16 potential assists per game over his last 10. He’ll at least add more assists than the Cavaliers’ defensive average against point guards.
Let’s roll with Harden to go over 31.5 combined points + assists.