After so many beat the books in Week 11, you knew they were going to make adjustments in their lines this past week. What better evidence is there of oddsmakers’ genius than favorites going 10-3 SU entering Monday night, but going just 5-8 ATS? Typically, when favorites have a losing record ATS, that means a profitable week for the books. For the most part, favorites avoided upsets, but their games were closer than expected.

For the first time since Week 4, we get a full slate of games in Week 13. There are no more bye weeks for the rest of the season, so fans can lock into 16 games of action from here on out. It is also Thanksgiving week, with three Thursday games to whet our appetites.

Here is a look at the early NFL Week 13 lines and their predicted movement throughout the week.

Odds courtesy of FanDuel.

Get a risk-free bet up to $500 at FanDuel Sportsbook >>

Thursday, November 28th – 12:30 PM EST

Chicago Bears (-1) at Detroit Lions

O/U 38.5

Predicted Movement: The early lookahead line for the game had the Lions as a 1.5 point favorite. However, when you lose to the Redskins in the fashion that the Lions did last week, they do not deserve to be favored over many teams. The Bears took care of business against the Giants, albeit in uninspiring fashion. Chicago still has issues running the ball, as evidenced by their 2.5 YPC. Neither offense has inspired much confidence of late, so look for this over/under to remain one of the lowest all week. The Bears should go off as slightly bigger favorites (-2 or -2.5) as losing to the Redskins was an embarrassing look for the Lions.

Thursday, November 28th – 4:30 PM EST

Buffalo Bills at Dallas Cowboys (-7)

O/U 44.5

Predicted Movement: Each week, the Buffalo Bills seem to play uglier and uglier games. Their latest version was a 20-3 trouncing of the Broncos in which they allowed just 134 total yards. On the other side of the football, the Cowboys were the latest victim of the Patriots’ defense, being held without a touchdown in a 13-9 loss. The Patriots proved that if you shut down Amari Cooper (he was held catchless on two targets), the Cowboys offense suffers. The Bills will try and follow a similar model with one of the best shutdown cornerbacks in Tre’Davious White. Given that the Cowboys have not beaten a team with a winning record, there should be enough Bills support to move this off the key number of seven to -6.5 or -6.

Thursday, November 28th – 8:20 PM EST

New Orleans Saints (-5.5) at Atlanta Falcons

O/U 49.5

Predicted Movement: The Saints tried to give last week’s game against the Panthers away, but they prevailed 34-31. Meanwhile, just when you thought the Falcons had turned a corner with two impressive divisional victories, they laid an egg at home to the Buccaneers. This is a rematch of a game three weeks ago where the Falcons stunned the Saints in New Orleans 26-9. That result will factor into the minds of bettors and keep the spread from inflating too much. However, the familiarity between the opponents and the game on a short week means the over/under should come down slightly before kickoff.

Sunday, December 1st – 1:00 PM EST

Cleveland Browns (-1) at Pittsburgh Steelers

O/U 40.5

Predicted Movement: Get your popcorn ready for the rematch of the Thursday night game between these teams that ended in an ugly brawl. It will be interesting to see how chippy this game can get, as emotions will certainly be running high. The lookahead line for this game was the Steelers -2.5, and it has since swung to the Browns being favored. The Steelers won an unconvincing 16-10 game over the winless Bengals. However, the bigger storyline was Mason Rudolph being benched for Devlin Hodges. Hodges won the lone game he started this year, 24-17 at the Chargers. Given that the Browns are on a three-game winning streak, look for them to go off as slightly bigger favorites, especially if Hodges is named the starter this week. In addition, the O/U should come down to the 39 or 39.5 point range.

Green Bay Packers (-7) at New York Giants

O/U 46.5

Predicted Movement: The Packers are coming off of a 37-8 Sunday night beatdown from the 49ers. However, the Giants do not possess the ferocious pass rush or defense that the 49ers do. This is a great spot for the Packers offense to get right. The Giants rank 26th in the league in pass defense and 27th in the league in total defense. There should be enough public support for the Packers to move this line to -7.5 or -8.

New York Jets (-3.5) at Cincinnati Bengals

O/U 39.5

Predicted Movement: The Jets have had an offensive resurgence of late, scoring 34 points in three consecutive games. The Bengals, although winless, have been surprisingly competitive. They have lost more than half their games by seven points or less. However, they are dead last in the league in total defense. While the spread may not move much, the over/under should be bet into the 40s given the Jets’ newfound offensive momentum.

Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs (-9.5)

O/U 53.5

Predicted Movement: After a 34-3 loss at the Jets, the Raiders are now 1-4 on the road this year. It does not get any easier as they travel to Arrowhead to face a Chiefs team coming off of a bye. Chiefs head coach Andy Reid is 17-3 SU off a bye week in his coaching career. The Chiefs won 28-10 in Oakland in Week 2. Look for the spread to enter double digits given these trends. In addition, the familiarity between the opponents should move the over/under down a little.

Philadelphia Eagles (-8.5) at Miami Dolphins

O/U 45.5

Predicted Movement: The Eagles schedule is about to lighten up at the most opportune time. Philadelphia has suffered countless injuries to their skill position players, and it is showing on the field. The Eagles have managed just 19 total points in their last two home games. They travel to Miami to face the Dolphins’ 30th-ranked defense. The Dolphins offense has had to score to keep up of late, as they have averaged 22 PPG over their last two games. Keep an eye on the injury status of Alshon Jeffery, Jordan Howard, and Nelson Agholor throughout the week. If any of them get cleared to play, this over/under should rise.

San Francisco 49ers at Baltimore Ravens (-4.5)

O/U OFF

Predicted Movement: The 49ers are fresh of a 37-8 trouncing of Green Bay on Sunday night. They have a slight scheduling advantage as the Ravens travel home from Los Angeles on a short week. This is a matchup of strength vs. strength as the Ravens’ top-ranked rush offense (203.1 YPG) faces the top-ranked overall defense (248 YPG). Given that the 49ers are built to take away Baltimore’s biggest strength and that they are coming off an impressive national television performance, this spread should drop closer to a field goal.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Jacksonville Jaguars (-1.5)

O/U 48.5

Predicted Movement: The Jaguars are in a tailspin at the moment, as they have lost their last three games by an average of 21.7 PPG. The only good news is that those games were against divisional opponents, so they will welcome the NFC South Buccaneers. Tampa Bay looked impressive in a 35-22 road win over the Falcons. These two teams rank in the bottom half of the league in terms of PPG allowed. As long as Jameis Winston is quarterbacking the Buccaneers, there will be plenty of pass attempts, plenty of turnovers, and plenty of points scored. Look for this over/under to rise into the low 50s by kickoff.

Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts (-2.5)

O/U 43.5

Predicted Movement: The Colts come into this matchup more rested, having last played on Thursday night. Their offense looked pedestrian in a 20-17 loss to the Texans, as the Colts seemed to miss the services of leading rusher Marlon Mack. The Titans are one of the hottest teams in football, winning four of their last five games since Ryan Tannehill took over as starting quarterback. In that span, they are averaging 29.4 PPG. This is a rematch of a Week 2 matchup that the Colts won 19-17. Throw that game out the window, though, as the Titans were led by Marcus Mariota. If the spread moves at all, it would certainly move in the direction of the red-hot Titans. Given the play of Tannehill lately, the over/under could rise a bit before kickoff.

Washington Redskins at Carolina Panthers (-9.5)

O/U 40.5

Predicted Movement: The Redskins earned their second win of the season last week, and yet the lookahead line still rose from Panthers -8.5 to -9.5. Though Carolina faltered late, they showed an offensive resurgence in narrowly losing 34-31 to the Saints. That being said, there is a motivational factor to be wary of. The Panthers’ loss to the Saints all but ended the race for the NFC South, while also leaving Carolina three games out of the last wild card spot. The disappointing loss to their division rivals will hang over them all week. As a result, this line should creep slightly back in Washington’s favor if it does move.

Sunday, December 1st- 4:05 PM EST

Los Angeles Rams (-3.5) at Arizona Cardinals

O/U 46.5

Predicted Movement: The schedule does not work in the Rams’ favor in this matchup. Los Angeles is on a shorter week, having played Monday night while the Cardinals are fresh off a bye. The Rams have struggled offensively of late, averaging 17.6 PPG in their last three games entering Monday night. Jared Goff historically has been a much better quarterback at home than on the road, thus keeping this spread somewhat low. However, given that the last three Arizona games have been played in the 50s, this over/under has room to rise.

Sunday, December 1st – 4:25 PM EST

Los Angeles Chargers (-2.5) at Denver Broncos

O/U 38.5

Predicted Movement: After a win over the Browns in his first NFL start, Broncos quarterback Brandon Allen has been exposed in his last two starts. Granted, Denver did come a couple of yards away from beating the Vikings on the road two weeks ago. However, Allen completed just 43.6% of his passes in that game. The Chargers are fresh off of a bye, and Philip Rivers will work to improve upon his seven turnovers in his last two games. This spread likely will not be bet any higher given the public’s perception of Rivers and the Chargers at the moment.

Sunday, December 1st – 8:20 PM EST

New England Patriots (-3.5) at Houston Texans

O/U 44.5

Predicted Movement: Depending on your preferred style of football, the Patriots may be the ugliest 10-1 football team in NFL history. They continue to win games on the strength of their defense and special teams, as Tom Brady and the offense cannot get it going. The Texans struggled offensively as well in their last game, which they won 20-17 over the Colts. If the Texans lose this game, they will find themselves in a tie for first place in the AFC South with the winner of the Colts-Titans game. There are not many bettors who would say that the over in a Patriots game is a safe bet at this point. Thus, look for the over/under to tick down a little in the coming days.

Monday, December 2nd – 8:15 PM EST

Minnesota Vikings at Seattle Seahawks (-3)

O/U 48.5

Predicted Movement: The Seahawks benefited from an injury-plagued Eagles roster in their 17-9 road victory last week. Before this game, the Seahawks had scored 27 or more points in eight of their last nine contests. The Vikings are fresh off of a bye, and they will look to expose a Seahawks rush defense that allows 101.5 rushing YPG. Minnesota has averaged 27.5 PPG over their last two games. The public perception is that the Seahawks defense is not what it has been the last few years. As a result, money should come in on the over, and raise the total closer to 50 by kickoff.

Get a risk-free bet up to $500 at FanDuel Sportsbook >>

Mike Spector is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @MikeSpector01.