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MLB Expert Consensus Picks

Win Totals

10 experts predicted win totals for the 2021 MLB season. We compiled these expert predictions to create expert consensus over/under picks.
AL
NL

AL East

Team Projected Wins 2020 Wins 2021 O/U Wins Over Under Expert Consensus Pick
65.1 25 63.5 -112 -111 Over 63.5 (60%)
78.4 24 81.5 -106 -116 Under 81.5 (70%)
93.9 33 94.5 -110 -113 Under 94.5 (60%)
89.1 40 86.5 -115 -107 Over 86.5 (90%)
87.2 32 86.5 -113 -110 Over 86.5 (80%)

AL Central

Team Projected Wins 2020 Wins 2021 O/U Wins Over Under Expert Consensus Pick
90.4 35 92 129 -130 Under 92 (60%)
82.4 35 81.5 -113 -110 Push
64.0 23 69 -108 -115 Under 69 (100%)
74.6 26 74 -117 -104 Over 74 (50%)
90.5 36 87 -120 -103 Over 87 (80%)

AL West

Team Projected Wins 2020 Wins 2021 O/U Wins Over Under Expert Consensus Pick
86.8 29 88.5 -115 -107 Under 88.5 (60%)
84.9 26 83.5 -114 -109 Over 83.5 (80%)
85.7 36 86.5 -109 -115 Push
71.5 27 74 -113 -110 Under 74 (80%)
66.4 22 67.5 -112 -112 Under 67.5 (60%)

NL East

Team Projected Wins 2020 Wins 2021 O/U Wins Over Under Expert Consensus Pick
91.4 35 90 -101 -123 Over 90 (70%)
73.1 31 71.5 -114 -109 Over 71.5 (80%)
88.3 26 91.5 119 -117 Under 91.5 (80%)
81.6 28 82.5 117 -111 Under 82.5 (70%)
82.7 26 83.5 -112 -111 Over 83.5 (60%)

NL Central

Team Projected Wins 2020 Wins 2021 O/U Wins Over Under Expert Consensus Pick
77.8 34 79.5 108 -119 Under 79.5 (70%)
81.1 31 81.5 -106 -117 Under 81.5 (60%)
84.4 29 84 -118 -105 Over 84 (70%)
60.4 19 59.5 -108 -114 Over 59.5 (70%)
87.1 30 85.5 -111 -111 Over 85.5 (80%)

NL West

Team Projected Wins 2020 Wins 2021 O/U Wins Over Under Expert Consensus Pick
74.2 25 72.5 -111 -112 Over 72.5 (70%)
63.6 26 64 -109 -114 Under 64 (50%)
102.3 43 102 -117 -105 Over 102 (60%)
96.7 37 94 -116 -107 Over 94 (90%)
74.4 29 77.5 -108 -115 Under 77.5 (90%)